Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% with tool use and adaptive reasoning, establishing a clear gap over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (54–57%) and prior GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro configurations (52–58%). Rapid progress on the expert-level benchmark since its 2025 launch—driven by stronger chain-of-thought, verification scaffolds, and tool integration—has outpaced earlier projections, with frontier scores climbing into the mid-40s to low-60s range across labs. OpenAI’s competitive positioning depends on further scaling of reasoning depth and tool orchestration in upcoming releases or updates before year-end, though historical patterns show product timelines can shift and Anthropic’s recent cadence has set a high bar for any OpenAI model to claim the year’s highest score.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$107,820 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
55%+
78%
60%+
33%
65%+
16%
70%+
10%
$107,820 वॉल्यूम
55%+
$34,352 वॉल्यूम
78%
60%+
$41,192 वॉल्यूम
33%
65%+
$9,431 वॉल्यूम
16%
70%+
$5,516 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% with tool use and adaptive reasoning, establishing a clear gap over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (54–57%) and prior GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro configurations (52–58%). Rapid progress on the expert-level benchmark since its 2025 launch—driven by stronger chain-of-thought, verification scaffolds, and tool integration—has outpaced earlier projections, with frontier scores climbing into the mid-40s to low-60s range across labs. OpenAI’s competitive positioning depends on further scaling of reasoning depth and tool orchestration in upcoming releases or updates before year-end, though historical patterns show product timelines can shift and Anthropic’s recent cadence has set a high bar for any OpenAI model to claim the year’s highest score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$107,820समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% with tool use and adaptive reasoning, establishing a clear gap over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (54–57%) and prior GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro configurations (52–58%). Rapid progress on the expert-level benchmark since its 2025 launch—driven by stronger chain-of-thought, verification scaffolds, and tool integration—has outpaced earlier projections, with frontier scores climbing into the mid-40s to low-60s range across labs. OpenAI’s competitive positioning depends on further scaling of reasoning depth and tool orchestration in upcoming releases or updates before year-end, though historical patterns show product timelines can shift and Anthropic’s recent cadence has set a high bar for any OpenAI model to claim the year’s highest score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$107,820समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 currently lead public HLE leaderboards at 59–65% with tool use and adaptive reasoning, establishing a clear gap over OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (54–57%) and prior GPT-5.4/5.5 Pro configurations (52–58%). Rapid progress on the expert-level benchmark since its 2025 launch—driven by stronger chain-of-thought, verification scaffolds, and tool integration—has outpaced earlier projections, with frontier scores climbing into the mid-40s to low-60s range across labs. OpenAI’s competitive positioning depends on further scaling of reasoning depth and tool orchestration in upcoming releases or updates before year-end, though historical patterns show product timelines can shift and Anthropic’s recent cadence has set a high bar for any OpenAI model to claim the year’s highest score.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में 'ह्यूमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्जाम' में प्राप्त की गई सबसे अधिक स्कोर 60% या उससे अधिक होगी?
48%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam पर किसी Meta मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
25%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में ह्युमैनिटीज़ लास्ट एग्ज़ाम में ऐन्थ्रॉपिक क्लॉड मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त किया गया सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगा?
85%
हाँ
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