Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show a lingering heatwave with urban highs near 34–35°C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C because convective showers or increased cloud cover on August 11 could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while drier conditions or urban heat-island effects support the upper end. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but the current above-normal seasonal outlook and recent 34.7°C readings elevate near-term probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the maximum-temperature outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
36%
36°C
20%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
36%
36°C
20%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show a lingering heatwave with urban highs near 34–35°C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C because convective showers or increased cloud cover on August 11 could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while drier conditions or urban heat-island effects support the upper end. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but the current above-normal seasonal outlook and recent 34.7°C readings elevate near-term probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the maximum-temperature outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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