Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 जुलाई को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 47%
34°C 31%
32°C 15%
35°C 3.0%
$11,913 वॉल्यूम
$11,913 वॉल्यूम
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
15%
33°C
47%
34°C
31%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 31%
32°C 15%
35°C 3.0%
$11,913 वॉल्यूम
$11,913 वॉल्यूम
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
15%
33°C
47%
34°C
31%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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