The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026 according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics report, with nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs amid gains in health care and retail offset by federal government declines and downward revisions to prior months. Labor force participation slipped to 61.8%, its lowest since late 2021, while broader U-6 measures edged higher, reflecting a cooling but still resilient market near historical lows. Federal Reserve officials have signaled that current policy rates around 3.5–3.75% remain appropriate to balance maximum employment with 2% inflation targets, though persistent geopolitical risks and slower job creation averaging just 75,000 monthly could push the rate toward 4.8% by year-end per consensus forecasts. Traders will monitor the June 5 employment report and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on any further softening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$388,693 वॉल्यूम
10 जन, 2026
5.0%
28%
5.5%
14%
6.0%
13%
7.0%
10%
10.0%
5%
$388,693 वॉल्यूम
5.0%
$102,277 वॉल्यूम
28%
5.5%
$186,719 वॉल्यूम
14%
6.0%
$52,180 वॉल्यूम
13%
7.0%
$21,511 वॉल्यूम
10%
10.0%
$26,006 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026 according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics report, with nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs amid gains in health care and retail offset by federal government declines and downward revisions to prior months. Labor force participation slipped to 61.8%, its lowest since late 2021, while broader U-6 measures edged higher, reflecting a cooling but still resilient market near historical lows. Federal Reserve officials have signaled that current policy rates around 3.5–3.75% remain appropriate to balance maximum employment with 2% inflation targets, though persistent geopolitical risks and slower job creation averaging just 75,000 monthly could push the rate toward 4.8% by year-end per consensus forecasts. Traders will monitor the June 5 employment report and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on any further softening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$388,693समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026 according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics report, with nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs amid gains in health care and retail offset by federal government declines and downward revisions to prior months. Labor force participation slipped to 61.8%, its lowest since late 2021, while broader U-6 measures edged higher, reflecting a cooling but still resilient market near historical lows. Federal Reserve officials have signaled that current policy rates around 3.5–3.75% remain appropriate to balance maximum employment with 2% inflation targets, though persistent geopolitical risks and slower job creation averaging just 75,000 monthly could push the rate toward 4.8% by year-end per consensus forecasts. Traders will monitor the June 5 employment report and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on any further softening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$388,693समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026 according to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics report, with nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs amid gains in health care and retail offset by federal government declines and downward revisions to prior months. Labor force participation slipped to 61.8%, its lowest since late 2021, while broader U-6 measures edged higher, reflecting a cooling but still resilient market near historical lows. Federal Reserve officials have signaled that current policy rates around 3.5–3.75% remain appropriate to balance maximum employment with 2% inflation targets, though persistent geopolitical risks and slower job creation averaging just 75,000 monthly could push the rate toward 4.8% by year-end per consensus forecasts. Traders will monitor the June 5 employment report and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on any further softening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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