USGS seismic records confirm five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from December 4, 2025, to May 13, 2026, driven by a cluster along the Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones: M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (February 22); M7.5 near Tonga (March 24); M7.3 offshore Vanuatu (March 30); M7.4 near North Maluku, Indonesia (April 1); and M7.4 offshore Iwate, Japan (April 20). This accelerated pace—surpassing the long-term global average of about 16 such events annually—fuels trader consensus for 8+ total by June 30 at 78% implied odds, with exactly 7 at 19%, anticipating three or more additional releases via the quasi-Poisson process of tectonic strain. No M7+ events in the past three weeks highlight short-term unpredictability, as USGS continuous catalog updates track definitive outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून तक कितने 7.0 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
30 जून तक कितने 7.0 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
$1,852,663 वॉल्यूम
$1,852,663 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
7
19%
8+
78%
$1,852,663 वॉल्यूम
$1,852,663 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
7
$288,176 वॉल्यूम
19%
8+
$550,902 वॉल्यूम
78%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.USGS seismic records confirm five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from December 4, 2025, to May 13, 2026, driven by a cluster along the Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones: M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (February 22); M7.5 near Tonga (March 24); M7.3 offshore Vanuatu (March 30); M7.4 near North Maluku, Indonesia (April 1); and M7.4 offshore Iwate, Japan (April 20). This accelerated pace—surpassing the long-term global average of about 16 such events annually—fuels trader consensus for 8+ total by June 30 at 78% implied odds, with exactly 7 at 19%, anticipating three or more additional releases via the quasi-Poisson process of tectonic strain. No M7+ events in the past three weeks highlight short-term unpredictability, as USGS continuous catalog updates track definitive outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,852,663समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.USGS seismic records confirm five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from December 4, 2025, to May 13, 2026, driven by a cluster along the Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones: M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (February 22); M7.5 near Tonga (March 24); M7.3 offshore Vanuatu (March 30); M7.4 near North Maluku, Indonesia (April 1); and M7.4 offshore Iwate, Japan (April 20). This accelerated pace—surpassing the long-term global average of about 16 such events annually—fuels trader consensus for 8+ total by June 30 at 78% implied odds, with exactly 7 at 19%, anticipating three or more additional releases via the quasi-Poisson process of tectonic strain. No M7+ events in the past three weeks highlight short-term unpredictability, as USGS continuous catalog updates track definitive outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,852,663समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...USGS seismic records confirm five magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes worldwide from December 4, 2025, to May 13, 2026, driven by a cluster along the Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones: M7.1 offshore Sabah, Malaysia (February 22); M7.5 near Tonga (March 24); M7.3 offshore Vanuatu (March 30); M7.4 near North Maluku, Indonesia (April 1); and M7.4 offshore Iwate, Japan (April 20). This accelerated pace—surpassing the long-term global average of about 16 such events annually—fuels trader consensus for 8+ total by June 30 at 78% implied odds, with exactly 7 at 19%, anticipating three or more additional releases via the quasi-Poisson process of tectonic strain. No M7+ events in the past three weeks highlight short-term unpredictability, as USGS continuous catalog updates track definitive outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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