**Strong El Niño conditions and elevated vertical wind shear have suppressed intensification across the Atlantic basin, driving trader consensus toward 1-3 hurricanes (61.5% implied probability) or even zero (31.5%).** As of September 21, 2026, the season has produced six named storms but zero hurricanes, with Accumulated Cyclone Energy at just 5.4—far below the 1991-2020 average—and Tropical Storm Fay (70 mph) forecast to weaken without reaching hurricane strength. NOAA’s August update assigns a 75% chance of a below-normal season overall, projecting 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes through November 30, citing El Niño’s persistence alongside only marginally warmer sea-surface temperatures. Model consensus shows limited formation risk in the coming weeks, though the two-plus months remaining allow for potential late-season development if shear relaxes. This evidence-based outlook aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the low end of historical ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में अटलांटिक तूफान के मौसम के दौरान कितने तूफान बनेंगे?
2026 में अटलांटिक तूफान के मौसम के दौरान कितने तूफान बनेंगे?
1-3 62%
0 28%
4-6 3.9%
7+ <1%
$37,462 वॉल्यूम
$37,462 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
0
28%
1-3
62%
4-6
4%
7+
1%
1-3 62%
0 28%
4-6 3.9%
7+ <1%
$37,462 वॉल्यूम
$37,462 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
0
$18,451 वॉल्यूम
28%
1-3
$6,102 वॉल्यूम
62%
4-6
$10,197 वॉल्यूम
4%
7+
$2,712 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.**Strong El Niño conditions and elevated vertical wind shear have suppressed intensification across the Atlantic basin, driving trader consensus toward 1-3 hurricanes (61.5% implied probability) or even zero (31.5%).** As of September 21, 2026, the season has produced six named storms but zero hurricanes, with Accumulated Cyclone Energy at just 5.4—far below the 1991-2020 average—and Tropical Storm Fay (70 mph) forecast to weaken without reaching hurricane strength. NOAA’s August update assigns a 75% chance of a below-normal season overall, projecting 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes through November 30, citing El Niño’s persistence alongside only marginally warmer sea-surface temperatures. Model consensus shows limited formation risk in the coming weeks, though the two-plus months remaining allow for potential late-season development if shear relaxes. This evidence-based outlook aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the low end of historical ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,462समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.**Strong El Niño conditions and elevated vertical wind shear have suppressed intensification across the Atlantic basin, driving trader consensus toward 1-3 hurricanes (61.5% implied probability) or even zero (31.5%).** As of September 21, 2026, the season has produced six named storms but zero hurricanes, with Accumulated Cyclone Energy at just 5.4—far below the 1991-2020 average—and Tropical Storm Fay (70 mph) forecast to weaken without reaching hurricane strength. NOAA’s August update assigns a 75% chance of a below-normal season overall, projecting 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes through November 30, citing El Niño’s persistence alongside only marginally warmer sea-surface temperatures. Model consensus shows limited formation risk in the coming weeks, though the two-plus months remaining allow for potential late-season development if shear relaxes. This evidence-based outlook aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the low end of historical ranges.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
वॉल्यूम
$37,462समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Strong El Niño conditions and elevated vertical wind shear have suppressed intensification across the Atlantic basin, driving trader consensus toward 1-3 hurricanes (61.5% implied probability) or even zero (31.5%).** As of September 21, 2026, the season has produced six named storms but zero hurricanes, with Accumulated Cyclone Energy at just 5.4—far below the 1991-2020 average—and Tropical Storm Fay (70 mph) forecast to weaken without reaching hurricane strength. NOAA’s August update assigns a 75% chance of a below-normal season overall, projecting 2-6 hurricanes and 0-2 major hurricanes through November 30, citing El Niño’s persistence alongside only marginally warmer sea-surface temperatures. Model consensus shows limited formation risk in the coming weeks, though the two-plus months remaining allow for potential late-season development if shear relaxes. This evidence-based outlook aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward the low end of historical ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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