The referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations remains extraordinarily tight, with final pre-vote polls from Gallup and Maskína showing Yes and No separated by less than one point and well within margins of error. This dynamic concentrates trader probabilities on narrow outcomes or Other, reflecting uncertainty over whether fisheries sovereignty concerns, cost-of-living pressures, or security considerations tied to broader geopolitical shifts will tip the balance. A decisive result in either direction could quickly reallocate probabilities across margin buckets once full counts emerge, while procedural factors such as turnout and constituency variations may influence the final spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ <3% 34%
नहीं <3% 25%
नहीं 3-6% 20%
नहीं 6–9% 19%
$11,298 वॉल्यूम
$11,298 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
हाँ 15%+
2%
हाँ 12–15%
18%
हां 9–12%
1%
हाँ 6–9%
18%
हाँ 3–6%
10%
हाँ <3%
27%
नहीं <3%
47%
नहीं 3-6%
20%
नहीं 6–9%
19%
नहीं 9–12%
12%
नहीं 12–15%
16%
नहीं 15%+
5%
हाँ <3% 34%
नहीं <3% 25%
नहीं 3-6% 20%
नहीं 6–9% 19%
$11,298 वॉल्यूम
$11,298 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
हाँ 15%+
$458 वॉल्यूम
2%
हाँ 12–15%
$169 वॉल्यूम
18%
हां 9–12%
$2,218 वॉल्यूम
1%
हाँ 6–9%
$181 वॉल्यूम
18%
हाँ 3–6%
$825 वॉल्यूम
10%
हाँ <3%
$342 वॉल्यूम
27%
नहीं <3%
$1,100 वॉल्यूम
47%
नहीं 3-6%
$823 वॉल्यूम
20%
नहीं 6–9%
$284 वॉल्यूम
19%
नहीं 9–12%
$324 वॉल्यूम
12%
नहीं 12–15%
$232 वॉल्यूम
16%
नहीं 15%+
$4,343 वॉल्यूम
5%
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations remains extraordinarily tight, with final pre-vote polls from Gallup and Maskína showing Yes and No separated by less than one point and well within margins of error. This dynamic concentrates trader probabilities on narrow outcomes or Other, reflecting uncertainty over whether fisheries sovereignty concerns, cost-of-living pressures, or security considerations tied to broader geopolitical shifts will tip the balance. A decisive result in either direction could quickly reallocate probabilities across margin buckets once full counts emerge, while procedural factors such as turnout and constituency variations may influence the final spread.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,298समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations remains extraordinarily tight, with final pre-vote polls from Gallup and Maskína showing Yes and No separated by less than one point and well within margins of error. This dynamic concentrates trader probabilities on narrow outcomes or Other, reflecting uncertainty over whether fisheries sovereignty concerns, cost-of-living pressures, or security considerations tied to broader geopolitical shifts will tip the balance. A decisive result in either direction could quickly reallocate probabilities across margin buckets once full counts emerge, while procedural factors such as turnout and constituency variations may influence the final spread.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No". Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote once the count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. If the results of the referendum are not known definitively, or no qualifying referendum vote occurs, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the vote as published by the Government of Iceland, including the National Electoral Commission of Iceland (https://island.is/en/o/landskjorstjorn) and Statistics Iceland (https://www.statice.is/statistics/population/elections/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$11,298समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:19 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations remains extraordinarily tight, with final pre-vote polls from Gallup and Maskína showing Yes and No separated by less than one point and well within margins of error. This dynamic concentrates trader probabilities on narrow outcomes or Other, reflecting uncertainty over whether fisheries sovereignty concerns, cost-of-living pressures, or security considerations tied to broader geopolitical shifts will tip the balance. A decisive result in either direction could quickly reallocate probabilities across margin buckets once full counts emerge, while procedural factors such as turnout and constituency variations may influence the final spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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