The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with a temporary leadership council assuming duties before the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March. This rapid transition, the first since 1989, occurred amid ongoing regional conflict and domestic pressures, shifting power dynamics within the clerical and Revolutionary Guard establishments. As of mid-May, the new leader has maintained a low public profile with no direct appearances, prompting health-related speculation and confirmation of a private meeting with President Masoud Pezeshkian, factors that continue to shape assessments of regime stability and any further changes ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$13,723,184 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 मई
7%
30 जून
14%
31 दिसंबर
34%
$13,723,184 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
$2,022,733 वॉल्यूम
7%
30 जून
$1,105,487 वॉल्यूम
14%
31 दिसंबर
$2,399,467 वॉल्यूम
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with a temporary leadership council assuming duties before the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March. This rapid transition, the first since 1989, occurred amid ongoing regional conflict and domestic pressures, shifting power dynamics within the clerical and Revolutionary Guard establishments. As of mid-May, the new leader has maintained a low public profile with no direct appearances, prompting health-related speculation and confirmation of a private meeting with President Masoud Pezeshkian, factors that continue to shape assessments of regime stability and any further changes ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,723,184समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with a temporary leadership council assuming duties before the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March. This rapid transition, the first since 1989, occurred amid ongoing regional conflict and domestic pressures, shifting power dynamics within the clerical and Revolutionary Guard establishments. As of mid-May, the new leader has maintained a low public profile with no direct appearances, prompting health-related speculation and confirmation of a private meeting with President Masoud Pezeshkian, factors that continue to shape assessments of regime stability and any further changes ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$13,723,184समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli airstrikes triggered Iran's constitutional succession process, with a temporary leadership council assuming duties before the Assembly of Experts selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March. This rapid transition, the first since 1989, occurred amid ongoing regional conflict and domestic pressures, shifting power dynamics within the clerical and Revolutionary Guard establishments. As of mid-May, the new leader has maintained a low public profile with no direct appearances, prompting health-related speculation and confirmation of a private meeting with President Masoud Pezeshkian, factors that continue to shape assessments of regime stability and any further changes ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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