Iran’s political landscape has shifted markedly since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several senior security officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as his successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, yet he has remained largely absent from public view, issued only written statements, and appears to share authority with a collective of IRGC commanders and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Recent developments include Iranian officials outlining conditions for war termination in mid-May and preparing measures to contain economic fallout that could spark domestic unrest. These factors, alongside the ongoing conflict and institutional power realignment, form the core context shaping trader assessments of further leadership transitions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$13,692,479 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
31 मई
6%
30 जून
13%
31 दिसंबर
34%
$13,692,479 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
$2,001,641 वॉल्यूम
6%
30 जून
$1,096,823 वॉल्यूम
13%
31 दिसंबर
$2,398,133 वॉल्यूम
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s political landscape has shifted markedly since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several senior security officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as his successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, yet he has remained largely absent from public view, issued only written statements, and appears to share authority with a collective of IRGC commanders and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Recent developments include Iranian officials outlining conditions for war termination in mid-May and preparing measures to contain economic fallout that could spark domestic unrest. These factors, alongside the ongoing conflict and institutional power realignment, form the core context shaping trader assessments of further leadership transitions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,692,479समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s political landscape has shifted markedly since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several senior security officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as his successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, yet he has remained largely absent from public view, issued only written statements, and appears to share authority with a collective of IRGC commanders and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Recent developments include Iranian officials outlining conditions for war termination in mid-May and preparing measures to contain economic fallout that could spark domestic unrest. These factors, alongside the ongoing conflict and institutional power realignment, form the core context shaping trader assessments of further leadership transitions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$13,692,479समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s political landscape has shifted markedly since the February 28, 2026, U.S.-Israeli strikes that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several senior security officials. Mojtaba Khamenei was installed as his successor by the Assembly of Experts in early March, yet he has remained largely absent from public view, issued only written statements, and appears to share authority with a collective of IRGC commanders and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. Recent developments include Iranian officials outlining conditions for war termination in mid-May and preparing measures to contain economic fallout that could spark domestic unrest. These factors, alongside the ongoing conflict and institutional power realignment, form the core context shaping trader assessments of further leadership transitions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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