The primary driver of the near-certain 98.9% trader consensus on Over 25% is the completed June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary vote count, where Spencer Pratt finished with roughly 25.5% as the third-place finisher behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. With nearly all ballots tabulated and certification underway, remaining adjustments are too small to push his share below the threshold. Pratt’s late surge from name recognition after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades fire and consolidation of Republican support created a durable base that held through final returns. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome remain an unprecedented large-scale recount or official certification error, both viewed as remote by traders given the current margin and standard election procedures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
Over
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Over
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.The primary driver of the near-certain 98.9% trader consensus on Over 25% is the completed June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary vote count, where Spencer Pratt finished with roughly 25.5% as the third-place finisher behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. With nearly all ballots tabulated and certification underway, remaining adjustments are too small to push his share below the threshold. Pratt’s late surge from name recognition after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades fire and consolidation of Republican support created a durable base that held through final returns. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome remain an unprecedented large-scale recount or official certification error, both viewed as remote by traders given the current margin and standard election procedures.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,032समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.The primary driver of the near-certain 98.9% trader consensus on Over 25% is the completed June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary vote count, where Spencer Pratt finished with roughly 25.5% as the third-place finisher behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. With nearly all ballots tabulated and certification underway, remaining adjustments are too small to push his share below the threshold. Pratt’s late surge from name recognition after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades fire and consolidation of Republican support created a durable base that held through final returns. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome remain an unprecedented large-scale recount or official certification error, both viewed as remote by traders given the current margin and standard election procedures.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
वॉल्यूम
$3,032समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The primary driver of the near-certain 98.9% trader consensus on Over 25% is the completed June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary vote count, where Spencer Pratt finished with roughly 25.5% as the third-place finisher behind Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. With nearly all ballots tabulated and certification underway, remaining adjustments are too small to push his share below the threshold. Pratt’s late surge from name recognition after losing his home in the 2025 Palisades fire and consolidation of Republican support created a durable base that held through final returns. The only realistic paths to altering the outcome remain an unprecedented large-scale recount or official certification error, both viewed as remote by traders given the current margin and standard election procedures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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