Latvia’s October 3 parliamentary election for the 15th Saeima features a 5% national threshold for seat allocation across 100 seats, with early voting already underway and turnout exceeding 5.6%. Incumbent Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs’ United List leads recent polls at roughly 14%, followed by Sovereign Power/New Latvians near 9%, Latvia First around 9%, and several others including the Progressives and National Alliance hovering near or above the threshold. Security concerns linked to Russian airspace activity and continued Ukraine support have sharpened divides between ethnic Latvian and Russian-speaking voters, while coalition negotiations after the vote are expected to prove complex given the projected entry of seven parties.