Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's deep-red partisan makeup—where Republicans hold supermajorities in the state legislature and Trump won by 17 points in 2020—drive trader consensus heavily favoring a GOP hold at 89.5%. Democrat Scott Colom secured his nomination in the same primary amid solid turnout, but a late-April Impact Research poll showed Hyde-Smith leading 47%-44% among likely voters despite her sagging favorability from policy fights over voting rights and abortion. Traders discount the narrowing margin as partisan polling, citing historical base rates with no Democratic Senate win since 1982 and low Dem turnout in general elections. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for a flip before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$22,546 वॉल्यूम
$22,546 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
90%
डेमोक्रेट
11%
$22,546 वॉल्यूम
$22,546 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$15,232 वॉल्यूम
90%
डेमोक्रेट
$7,314 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's deep-red partisan makeup—where Republicans hold supermajorities in the state legislature and Trump won by 17 points in 2020—drive trader consensus heavily favoring a GOP hold at 89.5%. Democrat Scott Colom secured his nomination in the same primary amid solid turnout, but a late-April Impact Research poll showed Hyde-Smith leading 47%-44% among likely voters despite her sagging favorability from policy fights over voting rights and abortion. Traders discount the narrowing margin as partisan polling, citing historical base rates with no Democratic Senate win since 1982 and low Dem turnout in general elections. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for a flip before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,546समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's deep-red partisan makeup—where Republicans hold supermajorities in the state legislature and Trump won by 17 points in 2020—drive trader consensus heavily favoring a GOP hold at 89.5%. Democrat Scott Colom secured his nomination in the same primary amid solid turnout, but a late-April Impact Research poll showed Hyde-Smith leading 47%-44% among likely voters despite her sagging favorability from policy fights over voting rights and abortion. Traders discount the narrowing margin as partisan polling, citing historical base rates with no Democratic Senate win since 1982 and low Dem turnout in general elections. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for a flip before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$22,546समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's easy March 10 primary victory and Mississippi's deep-red partisan makeup—where Republicans hold supermajorities in the state legislature and Trump won by 17 points in 2020—drive trader consensus heavily favoring a GOP hold at 89.5%. Democrat Scott Colom secured his nomination in the same primary amid solid turnout, but a late-April Impact Research poll showed Hyde-Smith leading 47%-44% among likely voters despite her sagging favorability from policy fights over voting rights and abortion. Traders discount the narrowing margin as partisan polling, citing historical base rates with no Democratic Senate win since 1982 and low Dem turnout in general elections. Upcoming debates and early voting could shift odds, though structural barriers remain high for a flip before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न