Richard Vereš of ANO holds the highest implied probability among contenders for Ostrava mayor because the movement has fielded him as its citywide list leader ahead of the October 9-10 municipal elections that will determine council seats and, in turn, the mayoral selection. Incumbent Jan Dohnal heads the rebranded srdcOVA coalition of ODS, KDU-ČSL, TOP 09 and independents, seeking to retain control through established local partnerships. Multiple other lists, including those led by Ivana Lucáková Nesétová, Aleš Boháč, Rostislav Řeha and Matěj Gregor, further fragment voter support across the 55-seat assembly. With no single bloc assured of a majority, council negotiations after the vote remain the decisive step, keeping probabilities clustered and sensitive to turnout patterns and coalition signals in the final weeks of the campaign.