Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$19,335 वॉल्यूम
$19,335 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
96%
डेमोक्रेट
4%
$19,335 वॉल्यूम
$19,335 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$12,754 वॉल्यूम
96%
डेमोक्रेट
$6,582 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,335समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$19,335समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's open U.S. Senate seat features Republican nominee Kevin Hern, who secured the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent of the vote after former Senator Markwayne Mullin departed for a Cabinet role. All major race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent Republican performance, including Donald Trump's 34-point margin in 2024. A late-August poll showed Hern ahead of Democratic nominee N'Kiyla Thomas by 24 points. Traders assign Republicans a 95.5 percent implied probability of victory due to these structural advantages and Hern's strong primary showing with Trump backing. A significant scandal, sharp national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical voting patterns and polling averages indicate limited scope for such changes before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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