The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report, released in June, projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund—covering retirement benefits—will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, with incoming payroll taxes then covering about 78% of scheduled payments. The combined OASI and Disability Insurance funds are expected to last until the third quarter of 2034, unchanged from last year, at which point benefits would drop to roughly 83% without intervention. This slight acceleration stems partly from recent tax changes reducing revenue from benefit taxation. No major legislative reforms have advanced since the report, leaving the timeline dependent on future congressional action to reallocate funds or adjust taxes and benefits. Traders monitor these official depletion dates as the core benchmark, with any new budget deals or economic data releases as potential catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाद्वारा सामाजिक सुरक्षा दिवालिया...?
द्वारा सामाजिक सुरक्षा दिवालिया...?
नया
1 जन, 2029
31 दिसंबर, 2027
10%
31 दिसंबर, 2028
23%
$200 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर, 2027
$198 वॉल्यूम
10%
31 दिसंबर, 2028
$1 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report, released in June, projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund—covering retirement benefits—will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, with incoming payroll taxes then covering about 78% of scheduled payments. The combined OASI and Disability Insurance funds are expected to last until the third quarter of 2034, unchanged from last year, at which point benefits would drop to roughly 83% without intervention. This slight acceleration stems partly from recent tax changes reducing revenue from benefit taxation. No major legislative reforms have advanced since the report, leaving the timeline dependent on future congressional action to reallocate funds or adjust taxes and benefits. Traders monitor these official depletion dates as the core benchmark, with any new budget deals or economic data releases as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$200समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report, released in June, projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund—covering retirement benefits—will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, with incoming payroll taxes then covering about 78% of scheduled payments. The combined OASI and Disability Insurance funds are expected to last until the third quarter of 2034, unchanged from last year, at which point benefits would drop to roughly 83% without intervention. This slight acceleration stems partly from recent tax changes reducing revenue from benefit taxation. No major legislative reforms have advanced since the report, leaving the timeline dependent on future congressional action to reallocate funds or adjust taxes and benefits. Traders monitor these official depletion dates as the core benchmark, with any new budget deals or economic data releases as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$200समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report, released in June, projects the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund—covering retirement benefits—will deplete reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032, one quarter earlier than prior estimates, with incoming payroll taxes then covering about 78% of scheduled payments. The combined OASI and Disability Insurance funds are expected to last until the third quarter of 2034, unchanged from last year, at which point benefits would drop to roughly 83% without intervention. This slight acceleration stems partly from recent tax changes reducing revenue from benefit taxation. No major legislative reforms have advanced since the report, leaving the timeline dependent on future congressional action to reallocate funds or adjust taxes and benefits. Traders monitor these official depletion dates as the core benchmark, with any new budget deals or economic data releases as potential catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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