Early in 2026, trader sentiment on TIME Person of the Year reflects uncertainty over who will dominate global headlines through December, with markets pricing candidates like astronauts Christina Koch, AI leaders such as Sam Altman, and political figures including Donald Trump or Marco Rubio in the 30-40% range. Momentum hinges on major events such as space milestones, AI breakthroughs, or political developments that could elevate a single individual or group above others, consistent with TIME's history of selecting frontrunners tied to the year's defining stories. Precursor signals like the TIME100 list and ongoing news cycles will likely shift implied probabilities as the year progresses toward the December announcement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTIME Person of the Year 2026
Christina Koch
40%
Benjamin Netanyahu
39%
Sam Altman
38%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
35%
Jeremy Hansen
34%
Dario Amodei
30%
Victor Glover
30%
Artificial Intelligence
29%
Reid Wiseman
28%
ChatGPT
27%
James Talarico
22%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Donald Trump
13%
Péter Magyar
11%
Elon Musk
11%
Pope Leo XIV
11%
Shehbaz Sharif
28%
Jerome Powell
9%
Bad Bunny
8%
Alysa Liu
8%
Taylor Swift
10%
Marco Rubio
35%
$1,431 वॉल्यूम
Christina Koch
40%
Benjamin Netanyahu
39%
Sam Altman
38%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
35%
Jeremy Hansen
34%
Dario Amodei
30%
Victor Glover
30%
Artificial Intelligence
29%
Reid Wiseman
28%
ChatGPT
27%
James Talarico
22%
Zohran Mamdani
17%
Donald Trump
13%
Péter Magyar
11%
Elon Musk
11%
Pope Leo XIV
11%
Shehbaz Sharif
28%
Jerome Powell
9%
Bad Bunny
8%
Alysa Liu
8%
Taylor Swift
10%
Marco Rubio
35%
A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
Additionally, the following rules apply:
If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous.
If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017.
If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 26, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
Additionally, the following rules apply:
If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous.
If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017.
If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Early in 2026, trader sentiment on TIME Person of the Year reflects uncertainty over who will dominate global headlines through December, with markets pricing candidates like astronauts Christina Koch, AI leaders such as Sam Altman, and political figures including Donald Trump or Marco Rubio in the 30-40% range. Momentum hinges on major events such as space milestones, AI breakthroughs, or political developments that could elevate a single individual or group above others, consistent with TIME's history of selecting frontrunners tied to the year's defining stories. Precursor signals like the TIME100 list and ongoing news cycles will likely shift implied probabilities as the year progresses toward the December announcement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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