The Uruguayan Primera División determines relegation via a two-season points-per-game average (2025–2026), with the three lowest teams dropping and the 13th-place side surviving. As of mid-September 2026 in the ongoing Clausura, the aggregate table shows tight clustering among mid-to-lower sides, with Danubio, Progreso, Montevideo Wanderers, Cerro, and Boston River holding the weakest averages while recently promoted Albion, Central Español, and Deportivo Maldonado carry limited prior-season data. Clausura results, including Montevideo City Torque’s strong start and inconsistent form from sides like Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo, continue to shift momentum without yet creating decisive separation. Remaining fixtures across the full schedule preserve realistic paths for several clubs to improve their standing, sustaining the narrow spread in trader-implied probabilities.