The U.S. administration has prioritized stability by backing acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 ouster of Nicolás Maduro, sidelining María Corina Machado despite her opposition prominence and Nobel recognition. Trump officials have publicly questioned her leadership viability and domestic support, while facilitating negotiations and easing sanctions that favor the interim government and oil-sector engagement. Machado remains in exile, excluded from U.S.-backed talks scheduled for 2026, with her planned return delayed amid concerns over potential unrest. This policy alignment drives the 96.5% trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado as leader by year-end. A sudden collapse of the Rodríguez government, rapid constitutional elections favoring her coalition, or abrupt White House reversal could still alter the outcome before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
3% संभावना
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
3% संभावना
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration has prioritized stability by backing acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 ouster of Nicolás Maduro, sidelining María Corina Machado despite her opposition prominence and Nobel recognition. Trump officials have publicly questioned her leadership viability and domestic support, while facilitating negotiations and easing sanctions that favor the interim government and oil-sector engagement. Machado remains in exile, excluded from U.S.-backed talks scheduled for 2026, with her planned return delayed amid concerns over potential unrest. This policy alignment drives the 96.5% trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado as leader by year-end. A sudden collapse of the Rodríguez government, rapid constitutional elections favoring her coalition, or abrupt White House reversal could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$179,084समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. administration has prioritized stability by backing acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 ouster of Nicolás Maduro, sidelining María Corina Machado despite her opposition prominence and Nobel recognition. Trump officials have publicly questioned her leadership viability and domestic support, while facilitating negotiations and easing sanctions that favor the interim government and oil-sector engagement. Machado remains in exile, excluded from U.S.-backed talks scheduled for 2026, with her planned return delayed amid concerns over potential unrest. This policy alignment drives the 96.5% trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado as leader by year-end. A sudden collapse of the Rodríguez government, rapid constitutional elections favoring her coalition, or abrupt White House reversal could still alter the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$179,084समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. administration has prioritized stability by backing acting President Delcy Rodríguez following the January 2026 ouster of Nicolás Maduro, sidelining María Corina Machado despite her opposition prominence and Nobel recognition. Trump officials have publicly questioned her leadership viability and domestic support, while facilitating negotiations and easing sanctions that favor the interim government and oil-sector engagement. Machado remains in exile, excluded from U.S.-backed talks scheduled for 2026, with her planned return delayed amid concerns over potential unrest. This policy alignment drives the 96.5% trader consensus against U.S. recognition of Machado as leader by year-end. A sudden collapse of the Rodríguez government, rapid constitutional elections favoring her coalition, or abrupt White House reversal could still alter the outcome before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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