The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 prompted Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice to install Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting head of state, with the armed forces publicly endorsing her and key institutions maintaining formal recognition of Maduro’s constitutional presidency. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority through cabinet reshuffles, Supreme Court adjustments, and retention of loyal military figures such as Vladimir Padrino López, while the National Assembly under Jorge Rodríguez has advanced limited reforms without scheduling new elections. Opposition leaders including María Corina Machado, backed by the Democratic Unitary Platform, continue pressing for prompt polls and her return from exile, yet face institutional and legal barriers that limit near-term shifts. These factors of institutional continuity and unresolved transition timing underpin trader consensus on the current probability distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के अंत में वेनेजुएला के नेता?
निकोलस मादुरो 64.1%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़ 21%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो 7%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज 1.1%
$88,267,000 वॉल्यूम
$88,267,000 वॉल्यूम
निकोलस मादुरो
64%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़
21%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो
7%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज
1%
डायोस्डाडो काबेल्लो रोंदोन
1%
एडमुण्डो गोंज़ालेज़
1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
1%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
1%
डिनोरा फिगुएरा
<1%
व्लादिमीर पाद्रीनो लोपेज़
<1%
इवान पेट्टस
<1%
डैन कैन
<1%
मार्को रूबियो
<1%
पीट हेगसेथ
<1%
फ्रैंक डोनोवन
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेनेल
<1%
निकोलस मादुरो 64.1%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़ 21%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो 7%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज 1.1%
$88,267,000 वॉल्यूम
$88,267,000 वॉल्यूम
निकोलस मादुरो
64%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़
21%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो
7%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज
1%
डायोस्डाडो काबेल्लो रोंदोन
1%
एडमुण्डो गोंज़ालेज़
1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
1%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
1%
डिनोरा फिगुएरा
<1%
व्लादिमीर पाद्रीनो लोपेज़
<1%
इवान पेट्टस
<1%
डैन कैन
<1%
मार्को रूबियो
<1%
पीट हेगसेथ
<1%
फ्रैंक डोनोवन
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेनेल
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 prompted Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice to install Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as acting head of state, with the armed forces publicly endorsing her and key institutions maintaining formal recognition of Maduro’s constitutional presidency. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority through cabinet reshuffles, Supreme Court adjustments, and retention of loyal military figures such as Vladimir Padrino López, while the National Assembly under Jorge Rodríguez has advanced limited reforms without scheduling new elections. Opposition leaders including María Corina Machado, backed by the Democratic Unitary Platform, continue pressing for prompt polls and her return from exile, yet face institutional and legal barriers that limit near-term shifts. These factors of institutional continuity and unresolved transition timing underpin trader consensus on the current probability distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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