Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s strong polling leads and history of winning reelection in Vermont anchor trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Scott ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits, even as his job approval has softened slightly, while Janoo’s narrow primary victory over Aly Richards on August 11 leaves limited time for her campaign to close the gap. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting Vermont’s pattern of supporting moderate Republican governors alongside Democratic legislative majorities. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking economic or policy developments, or significant changes in undecided voter preferences before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$44,783 वॉल्यूम
$44,783 वॉल्यूम

रिपब्लिकन
91%

डेमोक्रेट
8%
$44,783 वॉल्यूम
$44,783 वॉल्यूम

रिपब्लिकन
91%

डेमोक्रेट
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott’s strong polling leads and history of winning reelection in Vermont anchor trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Scott ahead of Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo by double digits, even as his job approval has softened slightly, while Janoo’s narrow primary victory over Aly Richards on August 11 leaves limited time for her campaign to close the gap. Ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid Republican, reflecting Vermont’s pattern of supporting moderate Republican governors alongside Democratic legislative majorities. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include unusually high Democratic turnout, late-breaking economic or policy developments, or significant changes in undecided voter preferences before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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