Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with Labor steady near 25%, the Liberal-National Coalition at 27-29%, and One Nation at 23-25% ahead of the November 28 election, reflecting voter concerns over state debt, infrastructure costs, and the leadership transition to Premier Ben Carroll. This three-way split, combined with preference flow dynamics and the Coalition's modest 2PP edge, has driven trader consensus toward Labor as the most likely second-place finisher in Legislative Assembly seats. One Nation's surge remains a wildcard but faces structural barriers in converting primary support into seats, while the Greens trail significantly and the Coalition leads overall. Scheduled campaign events and further polls could still shift positioning before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविक्टोरिया संसदीय चुनाव: दूसरा स्थान
विक्टोरिया संसदीय चुनाव: दूसरा स्थान
Labor 83%
Liberal–National 14.7%
One Nation 4.7%
Greens <1%
नया
नया
28 नव, 2026
Labor
83%
Liberal–National
15%
One Nation
5%
Greens
1%
Labor 83%
Liberal–National 14.7%
One Nation 4.7%
Greens <1%
नया
नया
28 नव, 2026
Labor
$1,483 वॉल्यूम
83%
Liberal–National
$329 वॉल्यूम
15%
One Nation
$410 वॉल्यूम
5%
Greens
$270 वॉल्यूम
1%
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with Labor steady near 25%, the Liberal-National Coalition at 27-29%, and One Nation at 23-25% ahead of the November 28 election, reflecting voter concerns over state debt, infrastructure costs, and the leadership transition to Premier Ben Carroll. This three-way split, combined with preference flow dynamics and the Coalition's modest 2PP edge, has driven trader consensus toward Labor as the most likely second-place finisher in Legislative Assembly seats. One Nation's surge remains a wildcard but faces structural barriers in converting primary support into seats, while the Greens trail significantly and the Coalition leads overall. Scheduled campaign events and further polls could still shift positioning before election day.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,492समाप्ति तिथि
28 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with Labor steady near 25%, the Liberal-National Coalition at 27-29%, and One Nation at 23-25% ahead of the November 28 election, reflecting voter concerns over state debt, infrastructure costs, and the leadership transition to Premier Ben Carroll. This three-way split, combined with preference flow dynamics and the Coalition's modest 2PP edge, has driven trader consensus toward Labor as the most likely second-place finisher in Legislative Assembly seats. One Nation's surge remains a wildcard but faces structural barriers in converting primary support into seats, while the Greens trail significantly and the Coalition leads overall. Scheduled campaign events and further polls could still shift positioning before election day.
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Victorian government, specifically the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) (https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,492समाप्ति तिथि
28 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent Victorian polling shows a fragmented primary vote with Labor steady near 25%, the Liberal-National Coalition at 27-29%, and One Nation at 23-25% ahead of the November 28 election, reflecting voter concerns over state debt, infrastructure costs, and the leadership transition to Premier Ben Carroll. This three-way split, combined with preference flow dynamics and the Coalition's modest 2PP edge, has driven trader consensus toward Labor as the most likely second-place finisher in Legislative Assembly seats. One Nation's surge remains a wildcard but faces structural barriers in converting primary support into seats, while the Greens trail significantly and the Coalition leads overall. Scheduled campaign events and further polls could still shift positioning before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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