Persistent low water levels on the Rhine stem from a severe 2026 drought, below-average Alpine snowfall, prolonged heatwaves, and reduced rainfall across the catchment, leaving key gauges like Kaub near record lows as of early September. Trader consensus splits closely between mid-to-late September and October recovery because short-term forecasts show only gradual improvement from scattered precipitation, insufficient to quickly restore normal navigation depths amid ongoing evaporation and low base flows. High September and October disruption odds from hydrological models underscore the uncertainty. Sustained heavy rainfall in the upper basin over the next 10–14 days could accelerate normalization into September, while drier conditions or delayed autumn fronts would extend restrictions into October or beyond, aligning with the balanced probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाराइन नदी सामान्य स्तर पर कब लौटेगी?
राइन नदी सामान्य स्तर पर कब लौटेगी?
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026 47%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026 46%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं 38%
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले 4.2%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले
4%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026
46%
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026
47%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं
38%
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026 47%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026 46%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं 38%
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले 4.2%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
15 सितंबर, 2026 से पहले
$35 वॉल्यूम
4%
15 - 30 सितंबर, 2026
$0 वॉल्यूम
46%
1 अक्टूबर - 31 अक्टूबर, 2026
$0 वॉल्यूम
47%
1 नवंबर, 2026 से पहले वापसी नहीं
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).Persistent low water levels on the Rhine stem from a severe 2026 drought, below-average Alpine snowfall, prolonged heatwaves, and reduced rainfall across the catchment, leaving key gauges like Kaub near record lows as of early September. Trader consensus splits closely between mid-to-late September and October recovery because short-term forecasts show only gradual improvement from scattered precipitation, insufficient to quickly restore normal navigation depths amid ongoing evaporation and low base flows. High September and October disruption odds from hydrological models underscore the uncertainty. Sustained heavy rainfall in the upper basin over the next 10–14 days could accelerate normalization into September, while drier conditions or delayed autumn fronts would extend restrictions into October or beyond, aligning with the balanced probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).Persistent low water levels on the Rhine stem from a severe 2026 drought, below-average Alpine snowfall, prolonged heatwaves, and reduced rainfall across the catchment, leaving key gauges like Kaub near record lows as of early September. Trader consensus splits closely between mid-to-late September and October recovery because short-term forecasts show only gradual improvement from scattered precipitation, insufficient to quickly restore normal navigation depths amid ongoing evaporation and low base flows. High September and October disruption odds from hydrological models underscore the uncertainty. Sustained heavy rainfall in the upper basin over the next 10–14 days could accelerate normalization into September, while drier conditions or delayed autumn fronts would extend restrictions into October or beyond, aligning with the balanced probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
वॉल्यूम
$35समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low water levels on the Rhine stem from a severe 2026 drought, below-average Alpine snowfall, prolonged heatwaves, and reduced rainfall across the catchment, leaving key gauges like Kaub near record lows as of early September. Trader consensus splits closely between mid-to-late September and October recovery because short-term forecasts show only gradual improvement from scattered precipitation, insufficient to quickly restore normal navigation depths amid ongoing evaporation and low base flows. High September and October disruption odds from hydrological models underscore the uncertainty. Sustained heavy rainfall in the upper basin over the next 10–14 days could accelerate normalization into September, while drier conditions or delayed autumn fronts would extend restrictions into October or beyond, aligning with the balanced probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न