Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?
रिकॉर्ड पर सबसे गर्म वर्षों में 2026 का स्थान कहाँ होगा?
2 57%
1 35%
4 2.8%
6 या उससे कम 2.3%
$2,821,646 वॉल्यूम
$2,821,646 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
1
35%
2
57%
3
2%
4
3%
5
1%
6 या उससे कम
2%
2 57%
1 35%
4 2.8%
6 या उससे कम 2.3%
$2,821,646 वॉल्यूम
$2,821,646 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
1
$453,744 वॉल्यूम
35%
2
$325,828 वॉल्यूम
57%
3
$428,457 वॉल्यूम
2%
4
$416,574 वॉल्यूम
3%
5
$732,047 वॉल्यूम
1%
6 या उससे कम
$464,997 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,821,646समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$2,821,646समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न