Ilia Topuria’s dominant run as the undisputed lightweight champion, capped by a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in mid-2025 and an undefeated record, underpins his commanding 76.5% implied probability to hold the title through the end of 2026. The 28-year-old’s power punching and recent move up from featherweight have established him as the division’s clear frontrunner, with his planned June unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje and a potential year-end return further solidifying trader consensus. Gaethje’s veteran experience and interim reign account for his 8.6% share, while Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit lower due to inconsistent recent form and longer paths to title contention. Topuria’s personal hiatus through early 2026 introduces some uncertainty, yet the market reflects the stark advantage held by the current titleholder amid a deep but unsettled 155-pound landscape.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइलिया टोपूरिया 78%
जस्टिन गेथजे 8.1%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान 3.5%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा 1.9%
$23,710 वॉल्यूम
$23,710 वॉल्यूम
इलिया टोपूरिया
78%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान
4%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा
2%
मैक्स हॉलोवे
<1%
जस्टिन गेथजे
8%
पैडी पिम्बलेट
<1%
डैन हूकर
1%
माटेयुज़ गैमरॉट
<1%
बेनोइट सैंट डेनिस
1%
राफेल फिज़ीव
<1%
रेनाटो मोइकानो
1%
इलिया टोपूरिया 78%
जस्टिन गेथजे 8.1%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान 3.5%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा 1.9%
$23,710 वॉल्यूम
$23,710 वॉल्यूम
इलिया टोपूरिया
78%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान
4%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा
2%
मैक्स हॉलोवे
<1%
जस्टिन गेथजे
8%
पैडी पिम्बलेट
<1%
डैन हूकर
1%
माटेयुज़ गैमरॉट
<1%
बेनोइट सैंट डेनिस
1%
राफेल फिज़ीव
<1%
रेनाटो मोइकानो
1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria’s dominant run as the undisputed lightweight champion, capped by a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in mid-2025 and an undefeated record, underpins his commanding 76.5% implied probability to hold the title through the end of 2026. The 28-year-old’s power punching and recent move up from featherweight have established him as the division’s clear frontrunner, with his planned June unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje and a potential year-end return further solidifying trader consensus. Gaethje’s veteran experience and interim reign account for his 8.6% share, while Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit lower due to inconsistent recent form and longer paths to title contention. Topuria’s personal hiatus through early 2026 introduces some uncertainty, yet the market reflects the stark advantage held by the current titleholder amid a deep but unsettled 155-pound landscape.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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