Ilia Topuria holds an overwhelming 68% implied probability to finish 2026 as UFC Lightweight champion, reflecting his status as the undisputed titleholder after capturing the vacant belt via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 and his return from a personal hiatus to face interim champion Justin Gaethje in a unification bout tonight. Gaethje’s 12.1% share stems from his interim reign and veteran power, while Arman Tsarukyan sits at 17.6% as the consensus next contender with strong recent form and a targeted title shot potentially arriving in the fall. Lower-priced names like Charles Oliveira and Benoît Saint Denis reflect established records but limited near-term paths past the current hierarchy, with market pricing underscoring Topuria’s perceived dominance and activity advantage heading into the second half of the year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइलिया टोपूरिया 68%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान 19.3%
जस्टिन गेथजे 8.5%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा 7.3%
$605,359 वॉल्यूम
$605,359 वॉल्यूम
इलिया टोपूरिया
68%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान
16%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा
7%
मैक्स हॉलोवे
<1%
जस्टिन गेथजे
12%
पैडी पिम्बलेट
<1%
डैन हूकर
<1%
माटेयुज़ गैमरॉट
<1%
बेनोइट सैंट डेनिस
3%
राफेल फिज़ीव
<1%
रेनाटो मोइकानो
<1%
फाइटर ए
<1%
इलिया टोपूरिया 68%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान 19.3%
जस्टिन गेथजे 8.5%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा 7.3%
$605,359 वॉल्यूम
$605,359 वॉल्यूम
इलिया टोपूरिया
68%
अरमान त्सारुक्यान
16%
चार्ल्स ओलिवेरा
7%
मैक्स हॉलोवे
<1%
जस्टिन गेथजे
12%
पैडी पिम्बलेट
<1%
डैन हूकर
<1%
माटेयुज़ गैमरॉट
<1%
बेनोइट सैंट डेनिस
3%
राफेल फिज़ीव
<1%
रेनाटो मोइकानो
<1%
फाइटर ए
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria holds an overwhelming 68% implied probability to finish 2026 as UFC Lightweight champion, reflecting his status as the undisputed titleholder after capturing the vacant belt via first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira in 2025 and his return from a personal hiatus to face interim champion Justin Gaethje in a unification bout tonight. Gaethje’s 12.1% share stems from his interim reign and veteran power, while Arman Tsarukyan sits at 17.6% as the consensus next contender with strong recent form and a targeted title shot potentially arriving in the fall. Lower-priced names like Charles Oliveira and Benoît Saint Denis reflect established records but limited near-term paths past the current hierarchy, with market pricing underscoring Topuria’s perceived dominance and activity advantage heading into the second half of the year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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