**Consistent long-range and short-range forecasts show hot, sunny, and dry conditions across Madrid for the September 13 race at the new Madring street circuit, producing the 86.5% implied probability that no rain will fall during the Grand Prix.** Official and independent meteorological sources align on zero or near-zero precipitation probability, with daytime highs of 32–34°C, light winds, and clear skies expected through the 15:00 local start. High-pressure dominance and the absence of any incoming fronts or instability have kept rain risk negligible since earlier in the week. In F1 terms, this setup eliminates wet-weather variables such as intermediate or full-wet tire calls, variable grip levels, or safety-car interventions tied to standing water, while emphasizing dry-track factors like tire degradation, brake cooling, and track evolution on the unproven hybrid layout. No last-minute model shifts or on-site reports have altered the outlook, leaving the market firmly priced to the dry consensus.