Neymar’s inclusion in Carlo Ancelotti’s preliminary 55-man squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup has anchored trader sentiment at a 78% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. The Brazil all-time leading scorer has steadily rebuilt match fitness since returning to Santos in January 2025, recently scoring in consecutive Brasileirão appearances while carefully managing his surgically repaired knee. Ancelotti has publicly noted the forward is “on the right track” and improving, though he continues to emphasize that only fully fit and consistent performers will make the final 26-man roster. Injuries to key attackers such as Estêvão and Rodrygo have further elevated Neymar’s standing as a veteran option for the Seleção. With the squad deadline imminent, his ability to maintain form through the next few weeks will determine whether recent momentum translates into a final selection.