New Zealand enters Group G of the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the lowest-ranked side among Belgium, Egypt, Iran, and the All Whites, driving trader consensus toward a last-place finish at 60.5% implied probability. Egypt (listed as Country E) sits at 50% amid questions over squad depth beyond Mohamed Salah and recent AFCON results, while “Other” reflects uncertainty around tiebreakers or surprise outcomes at the same price. Iran’s 19.5% price incorporates its organized defensive style and head-to-head history against similar opponents, reducing last-place risk despite limited attacking output. Belgium’s minimal 3.4% reflects superior squad quality and experience, though an improbable collapse remains theoretically possible before the June 15 opener. No matches have been played, so positioning rests on pre-tournament FIFA rankings, recent friendlies, and historical group-stage patterns for these nations.