The tight clustering of implied probabilities around France, Spain, and England reflects the even distribution of elite squad depth, recent international form, and historical tournament resilience among top European and South American national teams as the expanded 48-team field approaches. France maintains its narrow edge thanks to proven knockout-stage experience and attacking options despite minor fitness concerns for key players, while Spain benefits from strong recent results and midfield control. Argentina's status as defending champions adds back-to-back title context, yet injuries to several Brazilian and German stars have tempered those markets without shifting the overall competitive balance. Trader consensus continues to price in the unpredictable nature of a month-long event with significant travel demands across North American venues.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 18.3%
Spanyol 16.7%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,014,308,926 Vol.
$1,014,308,926 Vol.
Prancis
18%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Prancis 18.3%
Spanyol 16.7%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,014,308,926 Vol.
$1,014,308,926 Vol.
Prancis
18%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around France, Spain, and England reflects the even distribution of elite squad depth, recent international form, and historical tournament resilience among top European and South American national teams as the expanded 48-team field approaches. France maintains its narrow edge thanks to proven knockout-stage experience and attacking options despite minor fitness concerns for key players, while Spain benefits from strong recent results and midfield control. Argentina's status as defending champions adds back-to-back title context, yet injuries to several Brazilian and German stars have tempered those markets without shifting the overall competitive balance. Trader consensus continues to price in the unpredictable nature of a month-long event with significant travel demands across North American venues.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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