France and Spain lead the trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner due to their exceptional squad depth and recent success, with Spain’s unbeaten streak since 2024 and European Championship pedigree offsetting concerns over Lamine Yamal’s hamstring recovery, while France benefits from proven depth despite Hugo Ekitike’s Achilles absence. England’s strong recent form and Argentina’s status as defending champions with Lionel Messi available keep the top group tightly bunched, though Brazil faces notable setbacks from Rodrygo and Éder Militão injuries that have tempered enthusiasm for their campaign under Carlo Ancelotti. These factors, combined with the expanded 48-team format and competitive group stages, sustain a narrow implied probability spread among the leading nations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 16.9%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,008,471,665 Vol.
$1,008,471,665 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 16.9%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,008,471,665 Vol.
$1,008,471,665 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France and Spain lead the trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner due to their exceptional squad depth and recent success, with Spain’s unbeaten streak since 2024 and European Championship pedigree offsetting concerns over Lamine Yamal’s hamstring recovery, while France benefits from proven depth despite Hugo Ekitike’s Achilles absence. England’s strong recent form and Argentina’s status as defending champions with Lionel Messi available keep the top group tightly bunched, though Brazil faces notable setbacks from Rodrygo and Éder Militão injuries that have tempered enthusiasm for their campaign under Carlo Ancelotti. These factors, combined with the expanded 48-team format and competitive group stages, sustain a narrow implied probability spread among the leading nations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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