The tight clustering at the top of the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market reflects deep talent pools and recent international form across several European powers and South American sides. France leads the implied probabilities after strong March results against high-level opposition, while reigning European champions Spain maintain close contention through tactical cohesion and attacking depth. England’s consistent performances in qualifiers and friendlies keep them in the mix, joined by Brazil and defending champions Argentina, whose experience and star quality sustain realistic paths despite challenging group stages. With squads finalizing and group draws set, trader consensus highlights how minor edges in fitness, depth, or bracket positioning could shift outcomes in the expanded 48-team field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 17.0%
Inggris 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,007,783,153 Vol.
$1,007,783,153 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 17.0%
Inggris 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,007,783,153 Vol.
$1,007,783,153 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering at the top of the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market reflects deep talent pools and recent international form across several European powers and South American sides. France leads the implied probabilities after strong March results against high-level opposition, while reigning European champions Spain maintain close contention through tactical cohesion and attacking depth. England’s consistent performances in qualifiers and friendlies keep them in the mix, joined by Brazil and defending champions Argentina, whose experience and star quality sustain realistic paths despite challenging group stages. With squads finalizing and group draws set, trader consensus highlights how minor edges in fitness, depth, or bracket positioning could shift outcomes in the expanded 48-team field.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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