The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading contenders stems from the exceptional depth and recent form across several elite national teams just weeks before the expanded 48-team tournament kicks off in June. Spain, fresh off its European Championship triumph and an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures, benefits from tactical cohesion and attacking options that power rankings currently place at the top. France counters with squad versatility, strong recent results including victories over high-caliber opposition, and proven knockout pedigree under established leadership. England’s blend of experience and emerging talent keeps it competitive, while Brazil and Argentina maintain strong positions through attacking firepower and historical success. Minor roster tweaks and fitness updates, such as key player concerns for Spain, continue to influence trader assessments of path-to-title scenarios without shifting the overall balance dramatically.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 16.8%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,009,346,855 Vol.
$1,009,346,855 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 16.8%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,009,346,855 Vol.
$1,009,346,855 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among the leading contenders stems from the exceptional depth and recent form across several elite national teams just weeks before the expanded 48-team tournament kicks off in June. Spain, fresh off its European Championship triumph and an extended unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures, benefits from tactical cohesion and attacking options that power rankings currently place at the top. France counters with squad versatility, strong recent results including victories over high-caliber opposition, and proven knockout pedigree under established leadership. England’s blend of experience and emerging talent keeps it competitive, while Brazil and Argentina maintain strong positions through attacking firepower and historical success. Minor roster tweaks and fitness updates, such as key player concerns for Spain, continue to influence trader assessments of path-to-title scenarios without shifting the overall balance dramatically.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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