The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 18.3%
Spanyol 16.7%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,012,113,214 Vol.
$1,012,113,214 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
Prancis
18%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
8%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Prancis 18.3%
Spanyol 16.7%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,012,113,214 Vol.
$1,012,113,214 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
Prancis
$27,220,181 Vol.
18%
Spanyol
$21,343,862 Vol.
17%
Inggris
$17,550,188 Vol.
11%
Brasil
$18,880,905 Vol.
9%
Argentina
$18,459,035 Vol.
8%
Portugal
$20,168,009 Vol.
8%
Jerman
$17,190,987 Vol.
5%
Belanda
$19,279,712 Vol.
3%
Norwegia
$17,740,702 Vol.
2%
Jepang
$22,031,913 Vol.
2%
Belgia
$16,849,436 Vol.
2%
Kolombia
$15,731,000 Vol.
2%
Amerika Serikat
$32,308,619 Vol.
2%
Maroko
$20,669,398 Vol.
2%
Swiss
$18,459,413 Vol.
1%
Uruguay
$17,945,475 Vol.
1%
Meksiko
$19,620,054 Vol.
1%
Croatia
$21,542,287 Vol.
1%
Ekuador
$21,973,713 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$17,605,721 Vol.
1%
Turki
$10,981,058 Vol.
1%
Austria
$18,774,270 Vol.
1%
Sweden
$9,939,011 Vol.
1%
Kanada
$23,046,868 Vol.
<1%
Korea Selatan
$24,522,261 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$19,721,105 Vol.
<1%
Skotlandia
$18,678,058 Vol.
<1%
Pantai Gading
$23,361,370 Vol.
<1%
Egypt
$23,771,448 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$18,245,597 Vol.
<1%
Aljazair
$21,921,486 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$10,799,470 Vol.
<1%
Czechia
$9,493,645 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$23,920,795 Vol.
<1%
Selandia Baru
$31,142,474 Vol.
<1%
Haiti
$18,011,334 Vol.
<1%
Yordania
$26,143,706 Vol.
<1%
Curaçao
$36,706,703 Vol.
<1%
Iran
$24,894,596 Vol.
<1%
Tunisia
$22,369,433 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$39,006,923 Vol.
<1%
Panama
$13,129,213 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$12,712,886 Vol.
<1%
Afrika Selatan
$27,145,682 Vol.
<1%
Kongo DR
$16,526,590 Vol.
<1%
Tanjung Verde
$23,156,127 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$24,773,801 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$27,734,476 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$1,012,113,214Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,012,113,214Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight clustering of implied probabilities among leading contenders reflects an unusually deep field entering the expanded 48-team tournament, where Spain’s recent European Championship triumph and long unbeaten run position them just ahead of France’s exceptional squad depth and attacking talent. England’s strong recent results and defensive organization keep them in contention, while Brazil and Argentina rely on proven pedigree and individual brilliance to remain viable despite varying recent form. Group-stage matchups and the new round-of-32 format further compress the market, as even modest upsets in the knockout stages can dramatically alter paths for teams like Germany and the Netherlands.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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