France, Spain, and England head the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market with implied probabilities clustered between 11.3% and 18.6%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on a tightly contested field shaped by deep European squads and strong recent international results. Spain’s emerging talent and consistent UEFA Nations League performances keep them close to France, whose star-laden roster maintains an edge despite periodic injury updates. England’s blend of experience and depth, combined with favorable scheduling in the expanded 48-team tournament across North America, supports their standing. South American sides like Brazil and Argentina trail slightly due to transitional phases, yet retain upset potential through historical pedigree and qualifying form. Recent friendlies and qualification matches have reinforced this balance without major shifts in trader sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 16.8%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,009,473,689 Vol.
$1,009,473,689 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Prancis 18.6%
Spanyol 16.8%
Inggris 11.3%
Brasil 9.2%
$1,009,473,689 Vol.
$1,009,473,689 Vol.
Prancis
19%
Spanyol
17%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France, Spain, and England head the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market with implied probabilities clustered between 11.3% and 18.6%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on a tightly contested field shaped by deep European squads and strong recent international results. Spain’s emerging talent and consistent UEFA Nations League performances keep them close to France, whose star-laden roster maintains an edge despite periodic injury updates. England’s blend of experience and depth, combined with favorable scheduling in the expanded 48-team tournament across North America, supports their standing. South American sides like Brazil and Argentina trail slightly due to transitional phases, yet retain upset potential through historical pedigree and qualifying form. Recent friendlies and qualification matches have reinforced this balance without major shifts in trader sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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