Trader consensus prices France at an 18.1% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, a slight edge over Spain (16.4%) boosted by Les Bleus' strong March friendlies including 2-1 and 3-1 victories over Brazil and Colombia, while Spain slipped after Lamine Yamal's hamstring injury in early May ruled out their teenage sensation. England (11.5%), Brazil (9.2%), Argentina (8.6%), and Portugal (8.1%) trail closely, reflecting evenly matched depth across stacked squads headlined by Mbappé, Bellingham, Messi, and Ronaldo, plus favorable group draws—France faces Norway and Senegal, Spain Uruguay, England Croatia—that avoid early top clashes in the expanded 48-team format advancing top-two plus eight best third-placed teams. Knockout volatility and final camp fitness reports keep the race intensely competitive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Pemenang Piala Dunia FIFA 2026
Prancis 18.1%
Spanyol 16.4%
Inggris 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$968,984,624 Vol.
$968,984,624 Vol.
Prancis
18%
Spanyol
16%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Prancis 18.1%
Spanyol 16.4%
Inggris 11.5%
Brasil 9.2%
$968,984,624 Vol.
$968,984,624 Vol.
Prancis
18%
Spanyol
16%
Inggris
11%
Brasil
9%
Argentina
9%
Portugal
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
3%
Norwegia
2%
Jepang
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Amerika Serikat
2%
Maroko
2%
Swiss
1%
Uruguay
1%
Meksiko
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Turki
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices France at an 18.1% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, a slight edge over Spain (16.4%) boosted by Les Bleus' strong March friendlies including 2-1 and 3-1 victories over Brazil and Colombia, while Spain slipped after Lamine Yamal's hamstring injury in early May ruled out their teenage sensation. England (11.5%), Brazil (9.2%), Argentina (8.6%), and Portugal (8.1%) trail closely, reflecting evenly matched depth across stacked squads headlined by Mbappé, Bellingham, Messi, and Ronaldo, plus favorable group draws—France faces Norway and Senegal, Spain Uruguay, England Croatia—that avoid early top clashes in the expanded 48-team format advancing top-two plus eight best third-placed teams. Knockout volatility and final camp fitness reports keep the race intensely competitive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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