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Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

icon for Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

81% peluang
Polymarket

$27,800 Vol.

81% peluang
Polymarket

$27,800 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices and pushed UK inflation to 3.3%, prompting a sharp reassessment of Bank of England monetary policy expectations. After holding Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April 2026 meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee highlighted risks of persistent inflationary pressures that could necessitate rate increases later this year. Market-implied odds of 80% for a hike in 2026 reflect trader consensus on these upside risks, with forecasts now incorporating potential rises toward 5.25% in adverse scenarios rather than the cuts previously anticipated. The June 18, 2026, decision and upcoming inflation data releases remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate this pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,800
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated energy prices and pushed UK inflation to 3.3%, prompting a sharp reassessment of Bank of England monetary policy expectations. After holding Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April 2026 meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee highlighted risks of persistent inflationary pressures that could necessitate rate increases later this year. Market-implied odds of 80% for a hike in 2026 reflect trader consensus on these upside risks, with forecasts now incorporating potential rises toward 5.25% in adverse scenarios rather than the cuts previously anticipated. The June 18, 2026, decision and upcoming inflation data releases remain key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or moderate this pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,800
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Bank of England rate hike in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 81% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 81¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 81% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Bank of England rate hike in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $27.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Bank of England rate hike in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Bank of England rate hike in 2026?" adalah 81% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 81% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Bank of England rate hike in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.