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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

MOULIN by László NEMES 81%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET 80%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER 80%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji 79%

Polymarket
BARU

MOULIN by László NEMES 81%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET 80%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER 80%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji 79%

Polymarket
BARU

MOULIN by László NEMES

$0 Vol.

81%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$0 Vol.

80%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$51 Vol.

80%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$0 Vol.

79%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$0 Vol.

78%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$0 Vol.

74%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$0 Vol.

71%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$1 Vol.

51%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$111 Vol.

46%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$1,359 Vol.

21%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$760 Vol.

14%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$126 Vol.

8%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$191 Vol.

10%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$610 Vol.

8%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$361 Vol.

7%

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$170 Vol.

7%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$65 Vol.

5%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$242 Vol.

5%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$751 Vol.

4%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$38 Vol.

-

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$142 Vol.

36%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Cannes Palme d'Or reflects a fiercely competitive main competition lineup announced last month, with Gentle Monster by Marie Kreutzer, The Man I Love by Ira Sachs, and Nagi Notes by Koji Fukada emerging as co-frontrunners at around 37% implied probabilities due to their directors' strong Cannes pedigrees—Kreutzer's Corsage buzz, Sachs' intimate Passages acclaim, and Fukada's prior Un Certain Regard entries. French-heavy contenders like Notre Salut and A Woman's Life cluster tightly at 36.5%, buoyed by domestic momentum and auteur appeal, while László Nemes' Moulin holds steady amid Son of Saul nostalgia. With screenings kicking off this week under Park Chan-wook's jury, early clips and sales heat (e.g., Rami Malek's star draw in Sachs' 1980s AIDS-era drama) fuel the deadlock, but critical reception and jury tastes will dictate shifts before the May 24 awards.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,980
Tanggal Berakhir
May 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the 2026 Cannes Palme d'Or reflects a fiercely competitive main competition lineup announced last month, with Gentle Monster by Marie Kreutzer, The Man I Love by Ira Sachs, and Nagi Notes by Koji Fukada emerging as co-frontrunners at around 37% implied probabilities due to their directors' strong Cannes pedigrees—Kreutzer's Corsage buzz, Sachs' intimate Passages acclaim, and Fukada's prior Un Certain Regard entries. French-heavy contenders like Notre Salut and A Woman's Life cluster tightly at 36.5%, buoyed by domestic momentum and auteur appeal, while László Nemes' Moulin holds steady amid Son of Saul nostalgia. With screenings kicking off this week under Park Chan-wook's jury, early clips and sales heat (e.g., Rami Malek's star draw in Sachs' 1980s AIDS-era drama) fuel the deadlock, but critical reception and jury tastes will dictate shifts before the May 24 awards.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,980
Tanggal Berakhir
May 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "MOULIN by László NEMES" di 41%, diikuti oleh "A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 41¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 41% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 16, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" adalah "MOULIN by László NEMES" di 41%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 41% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.