Geopolitical supply disruptions tied to the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related U.S.-Iran tensions remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices, which settled near $88–$91 per barrel on June 9 after a sharp daily decline. Massive production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day have triggered record global inventory draws, supporting elevated spot levels despite softer demand forecasts. The EIA projects a June–July average near $105 per barrel under continued closure assumptions, while any diplomatic progress reopening flows could accelerate downside moves. Traders are monitoring weekly U.S. stockpile data, the next OPEC+ ministerial meeting, and summer demand peaks for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term price thresholds ahead of month-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAkankah Minyak Mentah (CL) mencapai__ pada akhir Juni?
$24,751,094 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $115
8%
↑ $110
13%
↑ $105
23%
↓ $85
67%
↓ $80
42%
↓ $70
6%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
$24,751,094 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $115
8%
↑ $110
13%
↑ $105
23%
↓ $85
67%
↓ $80
42%
↓ $70
6%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Geopolitical supply disruptions tied to the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related U.S.-Iran tensions remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices, which settled near $88–$91 per barrel on June 9 after a sharp daily decline. Massive production shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day have triggered record global inventory draws, supporting elevated spot levels despite softer demand forecasts. The EIA projects a June–July average near $105 per barrel under continued closure assumptions, while any diplomatic progress reopening flows could accelerate downside moves. Traders are monitoring weekly U.S. stockpile data, the next OPEC+ ministerial meeting, and summer demand peaks for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term price thresholds ahead of month-end resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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