Belgium's established European pedigree, higher FIFA ranking, and depth across midfield and attack have anchored trader consensus around their 63.5% implied probability to top Group G. Egypt sits at 18.0% on the strength of its potent forward line and solid CAF qualifying record, while Iran's 9.4% reflects disciplined defending and four straight World Cup appearances that often yield narrow results against stronger sides. New Zealand's 3.8% stems from its return after a long absence and Oceanian qualifying path, which typically leaves the All Whites short on elite match experience. With fixtures set for mid-June in Seattle, Los Angeles, and Vancouver, recent previews highlight Belgium's edge in squad cohesion over the group stage schedule.