Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on June 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 28?
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 9.6%
BARU
$10,528 Vol.
BARU
$10,528 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 35%
82-83°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
80-81°F 9.6%
BARU
$10,528 Vol.
BARU
$10,528 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
75°F or below
$1,331 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$347 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$915 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$583 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$1,417 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$1,492 Vol.
35%
86-87°F
$1,292 Vol.
18%
88-89°F
$546 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$807 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$534 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$10,528Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,528Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service normals place Chicago's June 28 average high at 83.5 °F, aligning closely with the market's leading 84-85 °F outcome at 36.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts and long-range guidance indicate near-normal to slightly above-average temperatures under a warm late-month pattern featuring isolated storms and moderating humidity, keeping most outcomes clustered between 82–87 °F. Trader consensus reflects these model runs, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes above 90 °F or below 80 °F given limited day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Updated model guidance ahead of the 28th will be the key catalyst for any shifts in positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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