Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime maxima near 25–27°C in coastal Qingdao on June 30, consistent with late-June climatology of 24–27°C averages and moderated by Yellow Sea influences that limit extreme heating through sea breezes and humidity. Trader consensus clustering on 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects this guidance alongside typical day-to-day variability from cloud cover, subsidence patterns, and insolation changes, while lower odds for 30°C+ capture the low historical frequency of such spikes without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours and official daily maximum observations will drive any shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 30?
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 14%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
32%
28°C
29%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
9%
27°C 32%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 14%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
32%
28°C
29%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models and the China Meteorological Administration point to daytime maxima near 25–27°C in coastal Qingdao on June 30, consistent with late-June climatology of 24–27°C averages and moderated by Yellow Sea influences that limit extreme heating through sea breezes and humidity. Trader consensus clustering on 27°C and 28°C outcomes reflects this guidance alongside typical day-to-day variability from cloud cover, subsidence patterns, and insolation changes, while lower odds for 30°C+ capture the low historical frequency of such spikes without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours and official daily maximum observations will drive any shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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