Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process under Article 111. A temporary three-member leadership council including President Masoud Pezeshkian, Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i assumed interim powers while the Assembly of Experts convened to select a permanent successor. The body elected Mojtaba Khamenei in early March 2026, marking only the second transfer of supreme authority since the 1979 revolution. This rapid sequence of military action, provisional governance, and clerical election has defined the current political transition and remains the dominant factor shaping trader assessments of further leadership developments through the remainder of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$13,731,819 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
31 Mei
7%
30 Juni
14%
31 Desember
34%
$13,731,819 Vol.
31 Mei
$2,024,897 Vol.
7%
30 Juni
$1,111,574 Vol.
14%
31 Desember
$2,399,467 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process under Article 111. A temporary three-member leadership council including President Masoud Pezeshkian, Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i assumed interim powers while the Assembly of Experts convened to select a permanent successor. The body elected Mojtaba Khamenei in early March 2026, marking only the second transfer of supreme authority since the 1979 revolution. This rapid sequence of military action, provisional governance, and clerical election has defined the current political transition and remains the dominant factor shaping trader assessments of further leadership developments through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Volume
$13,731,819Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process under Article 111. A temporary three-member leadership council including President Masoud Pezeshkian, Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i assumed interim powers while the Assembly of Experts convened to select a permanent successor. The body elected Mojtaba Khamenei in early March 2026, marking only the second transfer of supreme authority since the 1979 revolution. This rapid sequence of military action, provisional governance, and clerical election has defined the current political transition and remains the dominant factor shaping trader assessments of further leadership developments through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,731,819Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, triggering the constitutional succession process under Article 111. A temporary three-member leadership council including President Masoud Pezeshkian, Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, and judiciary head Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i assumed interim powers while the Assembly of Experts convened to select a permanent successor. The body elected Mojtaba Khamenei in early March 2026, marking only the second transfer of supreme authority since the 1979 revolution. This rapid sequence of military action, provisional governance, and clerical election has defined the current political transition and remains the dominant factor shaping trader assessments of further leadership developments through the remainder of 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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