Recent developments in Iran's leadership center on the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, followed by the rapid selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts to maintain institutional continuity. Power has shifted toward IRGC-aligned figures amid overlapping military and security roles, while Mojtaba's prolonged public absence has fueled health and control questions, prompting statements from President Masoud Pezeshkian confirming direct meetings as recently as May 2026. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and internal pressures from protests and wartime losses continue to test the new arrangement, with traders monitoring any signals of further succession moves or regime adjustments through the end of the year.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$13,693,484 Vol.
May 31, 2026
31 Mei
6%
30 Juni
13%
31 Desember
34%
$13,693,484 Vol.
31 Mei
$2,002,466 Vol.
6%
30 Juni
$1,096,826 Vol.
13%
31 Desember
$2,398,311 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent developments in Iran's leadership center on the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, followed by the rapid selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts to maintain institutional continuity. Power has shifted toward IRGC-aligned figures amid overlapping military and security roles, while Mojtaba's prolonged public absence has fueled health and control questions, prompting statements from President Masoud Pezeshkian confirming direct meetings as recently as May 2026. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and internal pressures from protests and wartime losses continue to test the new arrangement, with traders monitoring any signals of further succession moves or regime adjustments through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Volume
$13,693,484Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent developments in Iran's leadership center on the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, followed by the rapid selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts to maintain institutional continuity. Power has shifted toward IRGC-aligned figures amid overlapping military and security roles, while Mojtaba's prolonged public absence has fueled health and control questions, prompting statements from President Masoud Pezeshkian confirming direct meetings as recently as May 2026. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and internal pressures from protests and wartime losses continue to test the new arrangement, with traders monitoring any signals of further succession moves or regime adjustments through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,693,484Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments in Iran's leadership center on the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during U.S.-Israeli strikes, followed by the rapid selection of his son Mojtaba Khamenei by the Assembly of Experts to maintain institutional continuity. Power has shifted toward IRGC-aligned figures amid overlapping military and security roles, while Mojtaba's prolonged public absence has fueled health and control questions, prompting statements from President Masoud Pezeshkian confirming direct meetings as recently as May 2026. Ongoing diplomatic negotiations and internal pressures from protests and wartime losses continue to test the new arrangement, with traders monitoring any signals of further succession moves or regime adjustments through the end of the year.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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