The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its first three meetings of 2026, combined with April inflation rising to 3.8% year-over-year and resilient employment figures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Kevin Warsh will not ease policy at the June FOMC gathering immediately after Senate confirmation. Warsh assumes the chair role amid an FOMC that has already signaled caution through an 8-4 vote against cuts, with CME FedWatch pricing negligible odds of a June move regardless of leadership. His historically hawkish record and public emphasis on data dependence further align with the committee’s current restraint, even as incoming pressures from the White House for lower borrowing costs persist. Shifts remain possible if May CPI or employment releases show unexpected cooling, though such outcomes would need to overcome the prevailing inflation trajectory to alter the current pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$15,146 Vol.
$15,146 Vol.
$15,146 Vol.
$15,146 Vol.
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its first three meetings of 2026, combined with April inflation rising to 3.8% year-over-year and resilient employment figures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Kevin Warsh will not ease policy at the June FOMC gathering immediately after Senate confirmation. Warsh assumes the chair role amid an FOMC that has already signaled caution through an 8-4 vote against cuts, with CME FedWatch pricing negligible odds of a June move regardless of leadership. His historically hawkish record and public emphasis on data dependence further align with the committee’s current restraint, even as incoming pressures from the White House for lower borrowing costs persist. Shifts remain possible if May CPI or employment releases show unexpected cooling, though such outcomes would need to overcome the prevailing inflation trajectory to alter the current pricing.
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 17, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$15,146Pasar Dibuka
Apr 17, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its first three meetings of 2026, combined with April inflation rising to 3.8% year-over-year and resilient employment figures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Kevin Warsh will not ease policy at the June FOMC gathering immediately after Senate confirmation. Warsh assumes the chair role amid an FOMC that has already signaled caution through an 8-4 vote against cuts, with CME FedWatch pricing negligible odds of a June move regardless of leadership. His historically hawkish record and public emphasis on data dependence further align with the committee’s current restraint, even as incoming pressures from the White House for lower borrowing costs persist. Shifts remain possible if May CPI or employment releases show unexpected cooling, though such outcomes would need to overcome the prevailing inflation trajectory to alter the current pricing.
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$15,146Pasar Dibuka
Apr 17, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its first three meetings of 2026, combined with April inflation rising to 3.8% year-over-year and resilient employment figures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Kevin Warsh will not ease policy at the June FOMC gathering immediately after Senate confirmation. Warsh assumes the chair role amid an FOMC that has already signaled caution through an 8-4 vote against cuts, with CME FedWatch pricing negligible odds of a June move regardless of leadership. His historically hawkish record and public emphasis on data dependence further align with the committee’s current restraint, even as incoming pressures from the White House for lower borrowing costs persist. Shifts remain possible if May CPI or employment releases show unexpected cooling, though such outcomes would need to overcome the prevailing inflation trajectory to alter the current pricing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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