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Olahraga·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Olahraga·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Aaron Judge 38%

Kyle Schwarber 37%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
BARU

Aaron Judge 38%

Kyle Schwarber 37%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
BARU

Aaron Judge

$465 Vol.

38%

Kyle Schwarber

$2,395 Vol.

37%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,654 Vol.

11%

Matt Olson

$771 Vol.

8%

Yordan Alvarez

$130 Vol.

6%

James Wood

$207 Vol.

5%

Brandon Lowe

$115 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$328 Vol.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$271 Vol.

2%

Cal Raleigh

$115 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$115 Vol.

2%

Manny Machado

$165 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$115 Vol.

1%

CJ Abrams

$115 Vol.

1%

Shea Langeliers

$311 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$142 Vol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$115 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$115 Vol.

1%

Sal Stewart

$115 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$115 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$115 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$115 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$165 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$115 Vol.

1%

George Springer

$137 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge sit atop the early 2026 home run leaderboard in a tightly contested race, with Schwarber recently becoming the first player to reach 20 homers while Judge stays within a few blasts. Both power hitters have maintained strong recent form through the first six weeks, fueled by favorable matchups and consistent playing time that keeps their pace ahead of the pack. Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson trail closely behind, benefiting from solid starts and lineup protection, yet the top two’s head-to-head history and home/road splits suggest either could pull away as the season progresses. The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects traders viewing the outcome as highly competitive given the long schedule and injury risks still ahead.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,512
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge sit atop the early 2026 home run leaderboard in a tightly contested race, with Schwarber recently becoming the first player to reach 20 homers while Judge stays within a few blasts. Both power hitters have maintained strong recent form through the first six weeks, fueled by favorable matchups and consistent playing time that keeps their pace ahead of the pack. Munetaka Murakami and Matt Olson trail closely behind, benefiting from solid starts and lineup protection, yet the top two’s head-to-head history and home/road splits suggest either could pull away as the season progresses. The narrow spread in implied probabilities reflects traders viewing the outcome as highly competitive given the long schedule and injury risks still ahead.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,512
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 25 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Aaron Judge" di 38%, diikuti oleh "Kyle Schwarber" di 37%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "MLB: Home Runs Leader," jelajahi 25 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MLB: Home Runs Leader" adalah "Aaron Judge" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kyle Schwarber" di 37%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MLB: Home Runs Leader" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.