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PolitikΒ·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

icon for Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026
PolitikΒ·Penghargaan

Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026

Donald TrumpΒ 10%

Yulia NavalnayaΒ 9%

Volodymyr ZelenskyyΒ 6.3%

UNRWAΒ 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,688,050 Vol.

Donald TrumpΒ 10%

Yulia NavalnayaΒ 9%

Volodymyr ZelenskyyΒ 6.3%

UNRWAΒ 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,688,050 Vol.

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$3,377,592 Vol.

10%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$159,832 Vol.

9%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$500,327 Vol.

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,851 Vol.

5%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$611,247 Vol.

4%

icon for Paus Leo XIV

Paus Leo XIV

$698,916 Vol.

3%

icon for Mahkamah Internasional

Mahkamah Internasional

$760,536 Vol.

2%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$544,627 Vol.

2%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,196,876 Vol.

1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,141,899 Vol.

1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$909,085 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$952,530 Vol.

1%

icon for AntΓ³nio Guterres

AntΓ³nio Guterres

$421,315 Vol.

1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$454,448 Vol.

1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$715,941 Vol.

1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$818,202 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$503,654 Vol.

1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$744,978 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$733,566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$496,790 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The recent public disclosure of 287 nominees has opened up the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize race, leaving traders with a tightly contested field where Donald Trump holds a slight edge at 9.5% implied probability on the back of high-profile diplomatic endorsements from regional leaders. Close behind, Yulia Navalnaya’s 8.5% reflects sustained momentum from her human-rights advocacy profile, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s 6.3% underscores ongoing conflict-resolution narratives amid global tensions. Organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice add further fragmentation, mirroring the committee’s history of favoring collective winners when no single frontrunner builds decisive campaign traction. With the October ceremony still months away, fresh advocacy milestones or breakthrough developments could quickly shift the current evenly matched dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$17,688,050
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The recent public disclosure of 287 nominees has opened up the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize race, leaving traders with a tightly contested field where Donald Trump holds a slight edge at 9.5% implied probability on the back of high-profile diplomatic endorsements from regional leaders. Close behind, Yulia Navalnaya’s 8.5% reflects sustained momentum from her human-rights advocacy profile, while Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s 6.3% underscores ongoing conflict-resolution narratives amid global tensions. Organizations such as UNRWA and the International Court of Justice add further fragmentation, mirroring the committee’s history of favoring collective winners when no single frontrunner builds decisive campaign traction. With the October ceremony still months away, fresh advocacy milestones or breakthrough developments could quickly shift the current evenly matched dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$17,688,050
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 10, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Donald Trump" di 10%, diikuti oleh "Yulia Navalnaya" di 9%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 10Β’ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 10% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" telah menghasilkan $17.7 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" adalah "Donald Trump" di 10%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 10% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Yulia Navalnaya" di 9%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Hadiah Nobel Perdamaian 2026" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang β€” termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.