The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 PGA Championship winner reflect a wide-open field where recent PGA Tour form, major-championship experience, and ball-striking consistency are driving trader consensus. Alex Smalley leads at 16.4% on the strength of steady results in elevated events, closely trailed by Jon Rahm at 15.0% and Ludvig Aberg at 13.8%, both of whom have posted strong finishes in signature tournaments this season. Rory McIlroyβs 12.5% implied probability underscores his proven record on demanding layouts, while established names such as Scottie Scheffler at 5.5% and Xander Schauffele at 6.9% sit lower amid a crowded leaderboard of in-form players. This competitive dynamic highlights how course setup, late-season momentum, and head-to-head history among top contenders keep multiple realistic paths to victory open.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiAlex SmalleyΒ 16.4%
Jon RahmΒ 15.3%
Ludvig AbergΒ 14.2%
Rory McIlroyΒ 12.5%
$6,105,283 Vol.
$6,105,283 Vol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
6%
Nick Taylor
4%
Patrick Reed
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex SmalleyΒ 16.4%
Jon RahmΒ 15.3%
Ludvig AbergΒ 14.2%
Rory McIlroyΒ 12.5%
$6,105,283 Vol.
$6,105,283 Vol.
Alex Smalley
16%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
6%
Nick Taylor
4%
Patrick Reed
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 PGA Championship winner reflect a wide-open field where recent PGA Tour form, major-championship experience, and ball-striking consistency are driving trader consensus. Alex Smalley leads at 16.4% on the strength of steady results in elevated events, closely trailed by Jon Rahm at 15.0% and Ludvig Aberg at 13.8%, both of whom have posted strong finishes in signature tournaments this season. Rory McIlroyβs 12.5% implied probability underscores his proven record on demanding layouts, while established names such as Scottie Scheffler at 5.5% and Xander Schauffele at 6.9% sit lower amid a crowded leaderboard of in-form players. This competitive dynamic highlights how course setup, late-season momentum, and head-to-head history among top contenders keep multiple realistic paths to victory open.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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