Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections for at least four parliamentary constituencies, held alongside nationwide local elections, reflecting the party's incumbency advantage under President Lee Jae-myung following his 2025 snap presidential victory after former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment. Recent polls, including a May 7 survey showing DP support at 46% versus People Power Party (PPP) at 18%, underscore DP's dominance amid PPP's persistently low approval ratings around 15-18% due to post-impeachment fallout. Candidate slates finalized in early May have solidified DP frontrunners in key races like Busan and Pyeongtaek. While commanding at 97%, an upset could stem from late scandals, internal party rifts, or unexpected voter turnout shifts in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSouth Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.4%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.8%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

People Power Party (PPP)
4%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
97%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%

Progressive Party (PP)
<1%

Reform Party (RP)
<1%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.4%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.8%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

People Power Party (PPP)
4%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
97%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%

Progressive Party (PP)
<1%

Reform Party (RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections for at least four parliamentary constituencies, held alongside nationwide local elections, reflecting the party's incumbency advantage under President Lee Jae-myung following his 2025 snap presidential victory after former President Yoon Suk Yeol's impeachment. Recent polls, including a May 7 survey showing DP support at 46% versus People Power Party (PPP) at 18%, underscore DP's dominance amid PPP's persistently low approval ratings around 15-18% due to post-impeachment fallout. Candidate slates finalized in early May have solidified DP frontrunners in key races like Busan and Pyeongtaek. While commanding at 97%, an upset could stem from late scandals, internal party rifts, or unexpected voter turnout shifts in the final weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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