SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq debut, with shares fixed at a $135 IPO price for a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors trader expectations around the $100–$200 bands. Strong pre-IPO demand, Starlink revenue momentum, and Starship development progress support the 49.5% probability on a $150–$200 closing price, while the 30% weighting on $100–$150 reflects the conservative fixed offering amid elevated valuations near 90 times trailing sales. The slim 1.8% odds of no IPO before 2028 align with the accelerated June 2026 timeline following the S-1 filing and roadshow launch. Key near-term catalysts include first-day trading volume and any post-pricing adjustments ahead of the expected June 12 listing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$150-$200 50%
$100-$150 30%
$200-$250 12%
$250+ 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
<$100
3%
$100-$150
30%
$150-$200
50%
$200-$250
12%
$250+
9%
No IPO before 2028
2%
$150-$200 50%
$100-$150 30%
$200-$250 12%
$250+ 9%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
<$100
$113 Vol.
3%
$100-$150
$114 Vol.
30%
$150-$200
$66 Vol.
50%
$200-$250
$12 Vol.
12%
$250+
$15 Vol.
9%
No IPO before 2028
$535 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq debut, with shares fixed at a $135 IPO price for a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors trader expectations around the $100–$200 bands. Strong pre-IPO demand, Starlink revenue momentum, and Starship development progress support the 49.5% probability on a $150–$200 closing price, while the 30% weighting on $100–$150 reflects the conservative fixed offering amid elevated valuations near 90 times trailing sales. The slim 1.8% odds of no IPO before 2028 align with the accelerated June 2026 timeline following the S-1 filing and roadshow launch. Key near-term catalysts include first-day trading volume and any post-pricing adjustments ahead of the expected June 12 listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Volume
$855Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq debut, with shares fixed at a $135 IPO price for a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors trader expectations around the $100–$200 bands. Strong pre-IPO demand, Starlink revenue momentum, and Starship development progress support the 49.5% probability on a $150–$200 closing price, while the 30% weighting on $100–$150 reflects the conservative fixed offering amid elevated valuations near 90 times trailing sales. The slim 1.8% odds of no IPO before 2028 align with the accelerated June 2026 timeline following the S-1 filing and roadshow launch. Key near-term catalysts include first-day trading volume and any post-pricing adjustments ahead of the expected June 12 listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$855Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq debut, with shares fixed at a $135 IPO price for a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, anchors trader expectations around the $100–$200 bands. Strong pre-IPO demand, Starlink revenue momentum, and Starship development progress support the 49.5% probability on a $150–$200 closing price, while the 30% weighting on $100–$150 reflects the conservative fixed offering amid elevated valuations near 90 times trailing sales. The slim 1.8% odds of no IPO before 2028 align with the accelerated June 2026 timeline following the S-1 filing and roadshow launch. Key near-term catalysts include first-day trading volume and any post-pricing adjustments ahead of the expected June 12 listing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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