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Teknologi·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

icon for SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?
Teknologi·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?

96% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
96% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a public SEC filing in May and pricing targeted for mid-June 2026 on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for official Nasdaq-100 addition this year. The company’s projected $1.75 trillion-plus valuation easily satisfies index eligibility thresholds, while Nasdaq’s recent rule adjustments enable inclusion as soon as 15 days post-listing. This rapid path reflects completed regulatory review and strong institutional demand. Remaining uncertainty centers on any last-minute delays from market volatility, final share allocation, or unexpected compliance reviews, though the advanced stage and historical precedent for large-cap debuts limit downside risks.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$334
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a public SEC filing in May and pricing targeted for mid-June 2026 on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for official Nasdaq-100 addition this year. The company’s projected $1.75 trillion-plus valuation easily satisfies index eligibility thresholds, while Nasdaq’s recent rule adjustments enable inclusion as soon as 15 days post-listing. This rapid path reflects completed regulatory review and strong institutional demand. Remaining uncertainty centers on any last-minute delays from market volatility, final share allocation, or unexpected compliance reviews, though the advanced stage and historical precedent for large-cap debuts limit downside risks.

The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).
Volume
$334
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The Nasdaq-100 undergoes annual reconstitution in December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nasdaq, Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from Nasdaq will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the Nasdaq-100 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Nasdaq, Inc. (https://ir.nasdaq.com/news-and-events/press-releases).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 96% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 96¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 96% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 9, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" adalah 96% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 96% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.